Friday, January 26, 2024

Movies of 2024: The Good, the Bad, and the Maybe

A new year is upon us! In fact, we’re almost one month into said new year. But as I mentioned in my previous blog post, we get a bit twisted here on this blog with the three posts to start this year and I feel I do things a tad bit differently each time, depending on what life is like. But we got January previewed in its own post at the beginning of the month. In the meantime, I’ve been spending the month working on a few different things. Next week, the plan is to get my year end list of favorite movies of 2023 out, which will be followed shortly by the February movie preview, but right now it’s time to preview the entire year of 2024!

I’ve managed to put together a long list of movies. Slightly more than average for this list for some reason. I’ll give brief thoughts on each, but I organize this in a way that hopefully you’ll be able to skim through and what you want without being obligated to read the whole post. If you want to read every word I’ve typed, then by all means go for it. But if you simply want to scroll through and just read all the titles, that works for me to.

This upcoming year is a bit of a unique one. The writers and actors strikes last year definitely shook up the schedule. While things didn’t get as crazy as the COVID years. While the strikes were certainly for a good cause, the consequences were such that without any writers or actors for a significant part of the year, deadlines weren’t met and production wasn’t able to go forward on most things. That means things that were scheduled for the end of the year were pushed into 2024 and a lot of stuff that was scheduled for 2024 got pushed back into 2025. The result is… what you will see in this post.

But yes, the release schedule is very subject to change. The movies listed here are in order of release date, separated into three different categories: movies I’m excited about, movies I’m not so excited about, and movies that I’m on the fence about for one reason or another. Given the nature of things, you might see many of these movies on next year’s preview if they don’t make their release date this year for whatever reason. Life happens. And no, believe it or not, this is not an all encompassing list. These are just the highlights. There’s hundreds of movies that come out every year, especially a lot of smaller ones from film festivals that I have no idea about at this point in time. But it’s always fun to prepare myself for the year to come and get excited about what’s ahead of us. I hope you enjoy this, too! And, of course, let me know what movies you are most excited about from this.


The Good

Argylle - February 2

The director of the “Kingsman” movies has what looks to be another zany action film to kick off February. I was actually surprised to see this was PG-13 and not R, so I guess this means it’s a tad bit less intense than “Kingsman.” But that also means a more broad audience can enjoy it? If this ends up being not good, at the very least I can commend it for a well put together trailer that’s been fun to see at the beginning of every movie I’ve been to lately.

Lisa Frankenstein - February 9

I suppose it’s a popular time to release weird Frankenstein-like stories, with “Poor Things” getting tons of Oscar buzz at the moment and now this hitting around Valentine’s Day. With this looking like all sorts of crazy and weird, consider this my most anticipated Valentine’s Day option, which there are several to choose from.

Drive-Away Dolls - February 23

We’re three for three so far in quirky comedies. I’m not exactly sure what to expect from this road trip adventure, but it is from one of the Coen Brothers, which as a film fan that has my attention. I’m curious to know when the next time the brothers do a movie together again will be, but until then we’ll see here what Ethan Coen has up his sleeve. This was slated for a Fall release and a potential awards push, but the strikes pushed this one to 2024 instead.

Dune: Part Two - March 1

Of course this was going to be here. I’d wager a bet that this is towards the top of a lot of people’s most anticipated list. I was a fan of the first one. And Denis Villeneuve doesn’t miss as a director. But as one who has not read the books and is really not very familiar with this world at all, I’m rather excited to see how the second half of the story turns out. The first movie left off in what felt like a very weird spot to me that made me feel I need to see the second movie before I can even fully judge either of them.

Spaceman - March 1 (Netflix)

We briefly veer away from the theatrical schedule to explore a quick Netflix release. I don’t have a ton of Netflix movies on this list, partially because they don’t exactly announce their release dates too far in advance. But if you watched the 2019 TV mini-series “Chernobyl,” this is from the director of that. That’s enough to get my attention. It’s also the rare dramatic role for Adam Sandler as he goes on a space adventure of sorts, as he seemingly has regrets about leaving his family back home.

Kung Fu Panda 4 - March 8 

I saw a trailer for this in theaters a month or two ago without realizing it was a thing. That was a pleasant surprise. I’m not sure I expected DreamWorks to go back to the Kung Fu Panda franchise, but they are three for three so far in that realm. And this new one looks like they could continue that and go four for four.

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire - March 29

The elephant in the room here is that “Godzilla Minus One” came in at the end of last year and set a surprisingly new high standard on what a Godzilla movie has the potential to be. It’ll be hard not to compare and it’s possible that Toho just stole all the thunder away from Warner Bros. That said, I’ve still enjoyed all of the American Godzilla and Kong movies, so I’m still excited for some more dumb fun. You might just have to keep your expectations tempered.

The Fall Guy - May 3

The Summer movie season in 2024 will NOT begin with a Marvel Superhero movie. “Deadpool 3” did have that slot, but the strikes made Marvel move that to July. Instead the summer begins with a fairly random action movie. David Leitch, director of “Bullet Train,” “Hobbs & Shaw,” “Atomic Blonde” and “Deadpool 2” has an action film for us centered around Ryan Gosling as a stuntman who gets caught in some crazy real-life adventures. Looks like a fun time!

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes - May 10

But the real fun kicks off a week later. The recent Planet of the Apes trilogy in my books goes down as one of the best trilogies to ever be made. Given that said trilogy was a prequel trilogy to the original movie, this fourth movie looks like it’s arrived at the point of the timeline where the original Charlton Heston movie started. Different continuity, of course. But I’m excited to see their take on it. New director on bored, which has me slightly nervous. But the trailers make it seem like the quality is still on par, which quickly made this one of my most anticipated movies this year.

IF - May 17

After directing a par of “A Quiet Place” movies, John Krasinksi has now moved onto what looks like an adorable family film centering around a young girl who begins to see all of the imaginary friends that kids have left behind as they grow up to be adults. The adult star here is Ryan Reynolds and it seems like a good portion of Hollywood has joined in various supporting roles as well.

Furiosa - May 24

May should be a lot of fun with “Planet of the Apes” and “Furiosa,” which were initially both scheduled for Memorial Day weekend before “Apes” choose to move a few weeks ahead. But “Mad Max Fury Road” was one of my favorite movies of last decade and one of my most watched, too. And now George Miller is back to tell the origin story of that movie’s best character? And he’s cast Anya Taylor-Joy as Furiosa, with Chris Hemsworth looking like he’s having the time of his life in a supporting role? Sign me up!

The Watchers - June 7

A mystery thriller about a girl getting trapped in the forest along three strangers as they get stalked by mysterious creatures each night. Based on a book of the same name. But the draw here is that this is a Shyamalan movie. No, not M. Night. His daughter Ishana Shyamalan in her directorial debut. She worked with her dad a bit on “Servant” and “Old.” And now I’m curious about what the next generation of Shyamalan can do on her own!

Hit Man - June 7 (Netflix)

Back to Netflix real quick, “Hit Man” is an action comedy that I heard a lot of positive things about coming out of the festival circuits last year. Netflix picked it up and they just now sent it to another festival in Sundance this movie before putting it on their service in June. It might not be an awards play, but it’s a Richard Linklater movie starring Glen Powell as a hit man who becomes attracted to a woman who enlists his services.

Inside Out 2 - June 14

Pixar is best at their original films, in my opinion. But when the recent string of original films aren’t hitting with audiences, which is a shame in my opinion, you sometimes have to go back into the franchise realm to make some money. And in this case, I think returning to the world of “Inside Out” kinda makes sense. They are following Riley as a teenager now and that brings in a whole lot more emotions that it seems like they are going to have a lot of fun exploring. A few new voice actors for some of the old emotions, but if the writing is on point, that shouldn’t matter too much.

The Bikeriders - June 21

Another movie effected by the strikes. This was supposed come out in December and the advertising was already in full force. I did hear early word that this wasn’t quite an awards player and may not have caught on in that realm, so instead it was pushed ahead a few months so they can have their cast and crew available to promote it. But it starred Tom Hardy and looked intense and fun. So I was personally up for the ride. Maybe a summer release will end up making more sense, anyways?

A Quiet Place: Day One - June 28

No John Krasinksi directing this one, but he still has writing credit. And if you have to get a different director while Krasinksi decides to go do his family movie “IF,” then the director of the Nicholas Cage movie “Pig” seems like a solid choice. At some point it’s understandable to get nervous about horror franchises milking a good idea a little too much, but I think I’m still on board to explore more in this universe. In this scenario, it looks like we get to learn more of how all this came to be.

Deadpool 3 - July 26

In a funny turn of events, “Deadpool 3” is the only movie in the MCU to come out this year. No, it’s not because of any recent failures, even though that might be the narrative people might choose to go with. It’s due to the strikes causing Disney and Marvel to push everything down the road. As I mentioned above, this was supposed to be a May film, but is instead in July. Marvel will be back in 2025, but until then the adults get to be entertained with Deadpool’s introduction into the MCU. And no, don’t take your kids to this movie. This is for the adults only.

Trap - August 2

Surprise! Not only is M. Night Shyamalan’s daughter on deck to release her first movie, but M. Night himself is back as well! Not much is known here outside the cast, led by Josh Hartnett and Hayley Mills. But that’s how it should be with a Shyamalan movie, right? Shyamalan is very hit and miss. But he has had plenty of hits for me to still be excited for a new movie of his.

Transformers One - September 13

An animated Transformers focusing on the origins of Cyberton, the home of the Autobots and Decepticons. So… a Transformers movie that is set to focus solely on the Transformers? Now there’s an idea!

The Wild Robot - September 20

A new DreamWorks movie! I can’t find a ton of information on this one, but it is based on a series of kids books and I have seen some excited reaction from people about these prospects, even if I myself am not as aware. DreamWorks has been doing some interesting things as of late that I think have been very healthy for the animation genre as a whole, so I’m curious about what they have here.

Wolfs - September 20

Jon, the plural for “wolf” is “wolves.” Not sure what you’re doing here, haha. But fine, maybe he’ll show me up when we learn more about what this actually is. The Jon I mention is Jon Watts, director of the Tom Holland Spider-Man movies, taking a break from the Marvel Machine for now to direct this movie that stars Brad Pitt and George Clooney.

Saw XI - September 27

I liked “Saw X.” In fact, I did a whole “Saw” marathon this past Halloween season leading up to “Saw X.” It’s a fun horror franchise wherein the best movies are a lot more psychologically based than their “torture porn” reputation would lead you to believe.  I don’t know what part of the timeline this eleventh movie is going to be. It might be a tad bit confusing to newcomers later on. But I’m on board.

Joker: Folie รก Deux - October 4

Todd Phillip’s “Joker” was my favorite movie of 2019. I fully realize that it’s a fairly controversial movie that rubbed a lot of people the wrong way, but it connected in all the right ways for me personally. I’m not sure Todd Phillips initially planned on making a sequel, but when you make $1 billion at the box office, sometimes you get pressured to do one, anyways. And in this case, he’s turning his dark psychological thriller into a… musical? That’s a funny choice for a sequel that has me morbidly curious. And hey, if you’re going to do a musical and you need a Harley Quinn that can both sing and act, Lady Gaga is an excellent choice. She’s now been nominated at the Oscars for both singing and acting. So there you go!

Terrifier 3 - October 25

I don’t know much about the Terrifier movies. Just that there’s a new killer clown that has become a bit of a phenomenon. But I will definitely catch myself up before the third one this Halloween.

Wolf Man - October 25

We don’t know a lot about this new Wolf Man movie, just that it’s been in the idea room for a long while, with a lot of potential iterations. Ryan Gosling was on board at one point, which would’ve been fun. But recent news is that he’s been replaced with Christopher Abbott. I’m not 100 percent sure this is actually coming out, but if it does then I’m excited because Leigh Whannell is the director and he did great with his 2020 remake of “The Invisible Man.” So if he has ideas for Wolf Man, then I’m ready to see them. Because if we’re rebooting the Universal Monster movies, I fully believe that Whannell has the correct ideas as to how to do them right, based on what he do with “The Invisible Man.”

Wicked Part 1 - November 27

After years and years of waiting, the movie version of “Wicked” is finally coming! I don’t need to tell any of you what this is all about. It’s one of the most popular Broadway Musicals. What I can contribute here is letting you know that it’s in good hands as the director is Jon M. Chu, who did a great job with “In the Heights” in 2021. Ariana Grande is an interesting choice for Glinda. The girl can definitely sing. We’ll see how she can act. But Cynthia Erivo is Elphaba and that girl can do both. “Defying Gravity” is in great hands, my friends. And if you need proof, go look up the song “Stand Up” from the movie “Harriet” and you’ll be on board. The only thing that makes me nervous is the “Part 1.” I’m not sure why we need to split everything in half these days, but hey Part 2 is scheduled for 2025, so we won’t have to wait too long for the second half of the movie.

The Lord of the Rings: The War of Rohirrim - December 13

More Lord of the Rings. What more do you need? I suppose “Rings of Power” was a tad bit divisive. And those Hobbit movies were mostly pretty bad. So maybe I should say that this is an animated prequel that focuses on the origins of Helm’s Deep, from what I read, taking place 100+ years before the events of the original trilogy.

Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - December 20

I still love the story of Sonic the Hedgehog, how they literally paused production to redo the movie when they heard the backlash. And it became a huge hit because of it. The second movie was also a lot of fun, doing justice to the old video game franchise. Shadow was teased in the mid-credits scene, so I’m guessing that’s where this third movie is going.

Nosferatu - December 25

If you make me rank all of these movies in order of my most anticipated, I’m not sure exactly what is No. 1, but this version of “Nosferatu” might be close to the top at the very least. It’s Robert Eggers’ “Nosfertu.” Eggers is the guy who directed “The Witch,” “The Lighthouse” and “The Northman.” If you know me, you’ll know that I’m a huge fan of all three of those movies. I’ve come to really enjoy Eggers’ style. I’m excited to see what he has in store for this one!

Mickey 17 - TBD 2024

And now we go through a bunch of movies that aren’t yet dated, but seem to be planning on coming out at some point. The strike has a lot to do with that, so maybe a good number of these end up in 2025. We’ll see. But “Mickey 17” was scheduled for March, so I don’t think it’ll be delayed by too much. I don’t know anything about it, outside it being directed by Bong Joon Ho, director of “Parasite,” “Okja” and “Snowpiercer.” And it stars Robert Pattinson. That’s all that I need to know. Just tell me the release date and I’ll be there.

Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse - TBD 2024

I don’t actually believe that this is coming out in 2024. From what I’ve heard, they were not close to hitting their initial planned release of March 2024… and that was before the strikes. But Sony still thinks they’re going to make it this year, so I’m listing it just in case. If they stick the landing, this could be one of the best animated trilogies ever.

MaXXXine - TBD 2024

This one I have more optimism that it’ll hit the release, mostly because it’s the third movie in the trilogy of “X” and “Pearl.” And those two came out in the exact same year, that being 2022. It was a risky experiment, but I think it worked out. If you’re a horror fan and you haven’t watched those other two, then do yourself a favor and check them out. Then you can impatiently wait with the rest of us for the release date for this third one.

Kinds of Kindness - TBD 2024

The next movie from Yorgos Lanthimos. The dude is on a roll. “The Favourite” got 10 Oscar nominations and just this week “Poor Things” beat that with 11 Oscar nominations. I’m a bit surprised to see that he’s already got his next movie close to ready, but if it makes it this year, and if “Poor Things” doesn’t win the Oscars this year, I could conceivably see a scenario where the Academy makes it Yorgos year with this next film. We don’t know much about it, but it does star Emma Stone and Willem Dafoe again, with Jesse Plemons and Margaret Qualley also as co-stars.

Maria - TBD 2024

Pablo Larrain’s recent big awards players were “Jackie” in 2016 and “Spencer” in 2021. And now his next single-name movie is “Maria,” which has Angelina Jolie playing Maria Callas, one of the world’s greatest opera singers, in the final days of her life. Oscar time for Angelina?

Woman of the Hour - TBD 2024

The trio of movies before this are mostly here based on director’s name. We’ll get a couple more of those before moving onto our next section. But real quick we have a movie that HAS been seen be real humans at the 2023 Toronto International Film Festival. And it seems right up my alley as it’s about a serial killer named Rodney Alcala, who went on a killing spree while being on the popular game show “The Dating Game.” I don’t know why I’m so obsessed with movies and shows about serial killers, but here we are. And this seems like my movie. And it got great reviews out of TIFF, so I’m excited. And can you believe after hearing that description that it’s directed by… Anna Kendrick? Her directorial debut?  

Megalopolis - TBD 2024

I feel like I’ve heard about this movie for a long time. The newest film from Francis Ford Coppola, director of The Godfather movies. Wikipedia claims he started writing this one as his passion project way back in the 1980s. Apparently filming wrapped up in March of last year, so whatever this is, if it comes out, I’m at the very least curious to see how it goes.

Knox Goes Away - TBD 2024

Did you know that Michael Keaton directed a movie? It’s his second one, actually. The first being a 2008 movie called “The Merry Gentleman,” which I had never heard of until researching this post. “Knox Goes Away” is a thriller from Keaton starring himself along with Al Pacino and James Marsden, about a contract killer who has dementia who has the opportunity to redeem himself by saving his son’s life. It premiered at TIFF to somewhat mixed reaction, but it has me curious. Sometimes festival audiences aren’t ready for certain genres of movies.

Juror No. 2 - TBD 2024

Clint Eastwood has a movie for us this year. The man has a bit of a hit and miss in his older age, but this movie centers around a Jury trial, which has me curious. It’s described as a man serving as a juror in a high profile murder trial dealing with some sort of moral dilemma that could potentially sway the verdict. I like courtroom dramas and this one also has a solid cast to go along with it’s premise, so maybe this is the one that Eastwood can make a comeback and put together a solid thriller?

Havoc - TBD 2024 (Netflix)

The final movie on this list is one that I also had on last year’s list. And I almost took it off because it appears to be flying somwhere in movie purgatory. But I couldn’t help myself be excited again about the idea of an action thriller directed by Gareth Evans, the director of The Raid movies. If Netflix decides to actually release it this year, that would be nice. Or maybe I’ll just keep putting it on these lists until they do. Tom Hardy, Timothy Olyphant, and Forest Whitaker star.

 

The Bad

Imaginary - March 8

I try not to focus too much on the bad. You’ll see it’s a bit of a shorter list than the good section. But there’s a few things that I have to grumble and complain about. And we start by picking on a few low-budget horror movies. It’s weird that we have two movies about imaginary friends this year, but I’ll take the John Krasinski family movie over this one. This director is responsible for “Fantasy Island” and “Truth or Dare,” two really bad horror films, so this one involving a young kid, their little bear, and supposed imaginary friend does not seem any good.

The First Omen - April 5

Likewise, these constant ripoffs of “The Exorcist” are rarely any good. And this is another one of those hidden in April that looks like a throwaway horror film to make a few bucks.

Rebel Moon - Part 2: The Scargiver - April 19 (Netflix)

No, I haven’t actually seen Part 1 of this. It came out while I was busy trying to catch up on all the real movies out there before the year ended. Normally I’d say that it’s worth giving something a chance before judging, but this is Zack Snyder and I hate most of his movies. Based on everything I’ve heard from the internet and film people I trust, this is not one of the exceptions. The crazy Snyder fans that worship the dude are the only ones singing that movie’s praises. Everyone else has said it’s garbage. If I get bored enough, maybe I’ll watch them both in April. But we’ll see.

Wildfire: The Legend of the Cherokee Ghost Horse - April 19

I feel bad picking on this one. It looks like their heart was in the right place, making a cute family film about a girl and a horse. But when I checked this out after the title caught my attention, everything about it felt like a movie made on a budget of $10  and not in a good way.

Back to Black - May 10

I’m really kinda getting tired of musical biopics that are nothing but cinematic Wikipedia articles about an artist’s life. And while Amy Winehouse certainly has enough complexity regarding her life and death to make a compelling movie, tagging the director of “Fifty Shades of Grey” is not something that inspires confidence for me that they’ll get this one right.  

Horrorscope - May 10

Maybe the studio behind this one can release a trailer that will change my mind, but this is described as a horror comedy about a group of college friends dying after getting their horoscopes read. And it’s from a new directing team that helped write “Moonfall” and “Expend4bles.” Not winning me over there.

The Strangers: Chapter 1 - May 17

Do you remember the cult horror movie “The Strangers” from 2008? Or it’s poorly received sequel in 2018, “The Strangers: Prey at Night”? No? Well, they’re attempting to reboot that franchise with a new sequel trilogy. And there’s a non-zero percent chance that they try to release all three of them this year. Yay?

Garfield - May 24

I don’t hate Chris Pratt. But I need Hollywood to be done with their obsession with him. He doesn’t have a special voice, yet they’re using his name to reboot Mario and now Garfield? When they could, you know, cast a voice actor that SOUNDS like those characters? But whatever. Mario made over $1 billion, so maybe I’m just out of touch with reality. But I still don’t personally have to be excited about Chris Pratt and his generic white dude voice being cast as everyone.

Despicable Me 4 - July 3

I actually liked the first two “Despicable Me” movies. But the third one was bad. And since then we’ve had two Minions movies that both made way too much money and are now movies that certainly exist in the world. But now we’re back to the franchise proper and my confidence in Illumination is currently at an all-time low, so they’re going to have to prove themselves to me before I get excited again.

Twisters - July 19

Bringing back the 90s and expecting people to react like they did in the 90s is certainly a choice. Remember when we did a sequel to “Independence Day”? Yeah, that was miserable. Potential hot take, but I don’t think “Twister” was a very good movie. It was of its time and worked for that time, but doesn’t hold up well in a re-watch. So I don’t have much confidence in this new one. Prove me wrong?

Alien: Romulus - August 16

Fool me once, shame on me. Fool me… uh… how many bad Alien sequels have we had now? Seven if you count the Alien vs. Predator movies? “Alien” and “Aliens” are two all-time greats. And the rest are garbage. So excuse me if can’t get myself to be excited for another one of these. It was the boy who cried wolf a long time ago. But hey, speaking of the Predator franchise, I hear the movie “Prey” in that was good, so maybe Alien can be good again, too. Until I see it, though, I’m going to be skeptic.

The Forge - August 16

Get Alex Kendrick and his garbage Christian movies far away from me. He makes the rest of us Christians look bad to those who aren’t of the Christian faith.

Beetlejuice 2 - September 6

I deeply apologize for putting this one in here. That might cause a fight. For the record, I have nothing against “Bettlejuice.” It’s just that long belated sequels that should’ve happened decades ago rarely work out. “Beetlejuice” will be turning 36 years old this year. And we’re just now getting around to a sequel? At least they have Tim Burton on board. But that may or may not be a good thing these days. I hope it’s good, but if it ends up being a disappointment, don’t say I didn’t warn you.

Speak No Evil - September 13

A remake of a 2022 horror film. Why? Because it was a foreign horror film. And every good foreign film apparently needs an American remake because we’re too dumb to read subtitles.

Smile 2 - October 18

Hot take. A lot of people liked “Smile.” It did very well at the box office. I was not one of those people who liked it. So I’m not exactly excited for the inevitable 30 sequels that will come our way. I suppose we can take them one at a time. But even when a horror movie is good, the sequel being equally as good is not a thing that happens too often.

Gladiator 2 - November 22

Speaking of long-belated sequels, this falls into that category as well. Although I’m not 100 percent sure “Gladiator,” as great as it is, is a movie that needed a sequel. Can you believe that it’s now been 24 years since “Gladiator”? And that movie came out in the year 2000. I refuse to believe that the year 2000 was 24 years ago. Ridley Scott is on board doing this sequel, but same thing with him. I’m not sure that’s a good thing.

Mufasa: The Lion King - December 20

Remember how everyone almost universally hated that 2019 remake of “The Lion King”? Well, Disney listens to their bank account rather than online chatter. And that is one of the highest grossing movies ever at $1.646 billion. So if you wonder why Disney keeps pumping out these remakes, that’s why. People hate them, but they see them anyways. So… sequel. Or in this case, prequel. And I don’t care that Barry Jenkins in the director here. He’s getting his Disney paycheck so he can go make his next real movie. I can’t blame him. But my excitement level for a new Disney thing here couldn’t be lower. And I’m one that’s defended a lot of the recent Disney stuff. But not this one.

Karate Kid - December 26

Look, I’m not morally opposed to a new “Karate Kid” thing. In fact, they released a poster that shows them uniting the worlds of Ralph Macchio and Jackie Chan, which is a cool idea. I’m just confused here because we’ve done really good with the “Cobra Kai” show, which should be releasing their sixth and final season at some point this year. And for some reason I’m hearing buzz that this movie is not connected to the show? If things get cleared up as we get closer to December, then maybe I can be excited. But right now I just have no idea what to think about this.

Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F - TBD 2024 (Netflix)

Copy and past with some of my recent comments. I’m excited to go revist the “Beverly Hills Cop” movies because they’re a bit of a blind spot that I can now have an excuse to fix. The first two are some of the biggest 80s movies in terms of box office gross. But do we need another one? And is a belated sequel going to do well? And is skipping theaters to go straight to Netflix a smart idea when we’ve been in an 80s Renaissance the last many years now?

Lilo & Stitch - TBD 2024 (Disney+) 

Of all the Disney live action remakes, this is one that’s perhaps given me the biggest sigh of annoyance. I don’t know if it’s coming out this year, but they had begun filming before the actor’s strike started, so I’m guessing they’re well into production. They’ve not set a date, but they have announced it as a straight-to-Disney+ thing, which also doesn’t bode well for confidence. You would think that Disney has learned their lesson to not skip theaters and after the awful year of 2023 that they had, maybe they’ll change their mind here. Or maybe they’re just as embarrassed that they’re moving forward with this particular project and would rather hide it.

 

The Maybe

Bob Marley: One Love - February 14

I’m really excited for this movie to finally come out… so that they can STOP showing this trailer. I swear I’ve seen in front of every movie for the last six months. That aside, I menionted that I’m not excited for these musical biopics anymore. But Bob Marley has an interesting enough story that this could work, theoretically. And the talent involved is not terrible. So I don’t want to ignorantly toss it in the trash just because of its genre.

Madame Web - February 14

Most people would be putting this in the bad section. I don’t know if there’s any excitement here, especially after the awful year that superhero movies had in terms of general audience reception. But I’m not most people. I’m still enjoying superhero movies. That caveat is that Sony has had the most rocky journey with their non-Spider-Man Spider-Man movies. But I don’t think this looks Morbius levels of bad. In fact, we have two different versions of Spider-Woman/Madame Web in this with Cassandra Webb and Julia Carpenter, played by Dakota Johnson and Sydney Sweeney, respectively. So I’m more hopeful than most.

Love Lies Bleeding - March 8

Initially when I saw this poster and trailer, it looked like a generic January action movie. Until I realized it was a March action movie. Crazy as it seems, that makes a difference in regards to studio confidence. A female-led action movie from A24 with Kristen Stewart as a part of the cast is enough to intrigue. Stewart is not the buff girl with a gun on the poster, but I’ve enjoyed most of the movies she’s been. And they did release this at Sundance this week and it got decently positive remarks. I still am a little worried about it being a tad bit generic, but I lean much more on the positive side of the fence here.

Arthur the King - March 15

A movie about a dog. And Mark Wahlberg as a dude running a fancy race who finds the dog. That’s much better than this being another King Arthur movie, which I thought it was. But dog movies are often pretty cute.

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - March 22

I wasn’t a fan of the recent Ghostbusters reboot in “Ghostbusters: Afterlife.” But the trailers for “Frozen Empire” have actually intrigued me. So maybe I’ll go revisit “Afterlife” to remind myself of my thoughts on that and then compare to “Frozen Empire.” I’m always hopeful that a new Ghostbusters movie will be a fun time at the movies.

Civil War - April 12

I almost put this one in the good section because the idea here is highly amusing to me. No, this is not a comic book thing, nor a historical movie about the Civil War in the 1800s. This is an alternate version of modern America in the not-so-distant future that portrays us in a new Civil War with different factions fighting against each other. Released during Election Year, which very much feels like NOT a coincidence. It’s going to spark outrage, for better or for worse. It is Alex Garland, who I love from directing “Ex Machina” and “Annihilation.” But he also did “Men” in 2022, which I was not a fan of, so he no longer has a clean record for me. I’m curious to see where I will fall and what outrage this will spark and why.

Abigail - April 19

I was about to put this is the bad section. Another April horror film that looks generic and kinda bad. But I am a horror fan. I’m just annoyed that there are so many bad ones out there that make the genre look awful. But yet when I looked at the director here, it’s the directing duo that did the recent two Scream movies, as well as the 2019 movie “Ready or Not,” which was a really fun horror movie that was also a great blend of action and comedy. So that’s a great track record. Maybe this is one of those horror movies that looks bad and generic, but is actually fun and smart. I’m willing to give it a try.

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare - April 19

The latest Guy Ritchie movie. He’s been more miss than hit for me recently. But “The Covenant” last year was solid. And this is another war-themed movie with a cast that includes Henry Cavill, Cary Elwes, and Henry Goulding.

Challengers - April 26

The tennis movie Zendaya and two boys that had a lot of traction last year. It was supposed to be released in September. And with it being from the director of “Call Me By Your Name,” it was thought to maybe be an awards contender? But when the actors strike hit, they decided they wanted Zendaya to be around to promote it, so they pushed it to April, which is not a good sign for awards consideration, but it could still be a good movie. I’m worried about it being a little to steamy for my liking, if you know what I mean, but it’s on my radar.

Ballerina - June 7

The first spin-off of the John Wick franchise. Or the first movie spin-off, I should say. They had the Peacock show about the hotel that I haven’t watched because I don’t have Peacock, but I almost immediately put this in the good section because I love John Wick. The potential problem is that it’s not the director of the John Wick movies. Which is fine… except for the new director here is Len Wiseman, who’s mostly known for a lot of bad Underworld movies and the Total Recall remake that no one liked. So that makes me a bit nervous. But if he can capture the style of John Wick, I’m hoping this is at least a fun chapter because an action movie starring Ana de Armas in the John Wick Universe sounds like a winner on paper.

Bad Boys 4 - June 14

They really painted themselves in a pickle by calling the THIRD movie “Bad Boys for Life,” which could’ve been stylized as “Bad Boys 4 Life” if it was the fourth movie. Now they have an actual fourth movie and they have to pick a different creative title. Anyways, the 2020 movie that I did not watch actually got decent reviews, so maybe I’ll catch up on this franchise before this movie comes out.

Horizon: An American Saga Chapters 1 & 2 - June 18 & August 16

An interesting cinematic experiment that I’m hoping will work out. Kevin Costner directed and starred in a Western movie. Which on its own doesn’t seem very risky. That actually seems rather safe and really fun. But the risky part is that he made a really long Western movie that he split into two halves. Common trend these days, I suppose. But both halves come out this summer, Chapter 1 in June and Chapter 2 in August. So that’s a fairly unique experience. I’m curious to see how this works out.

Borderlands - August 9

If you’re a fan of the video game series “Borderlands,” you should let me know if you’re excited about the idea of a movie adaptation, given the history of video game movies. Then tell me if you like the idea of Eli Roth as the director of this movie with Kevin Hart as the star, playing a character named Roland. We also have Cate Blanchett, Jamie Lee Curtis, and Jack Black. But yeah, I’m not much of a gamer, so I don’t know what I’m supposed to be thinking about this.

Flint Strong - August 9

This sounds like an awards film. It tells the story of a boxer who is training to become the first woman in her country’s history to win a gold medal in the sport. It has a solid cast. Written by Oscar-winner Barry Jenkins and directed by Rachel Morrison, who was nominated for a cinematography Oscar for “Black Panther.” But it’s being released in August, which is not quite awards season. August movies sometimes get lost in the shuffle, so I’m not sure what to think.

Kraven the Hunter - August 30

I had this on my list last year… in the bad section. I’m not sure if I believed it existed. But then a trailer came out and it was a very violent and bloody version of this character, meaning Sony was leaning into the Hard R for this comic book film, which is what they should’ve done for “Venom” and “Morbius.” It fits the character and looks like a lot of fun. But then the strike hit and they postponed this almost a whole year, meaning it landed in August. Given the Sony track record, I’m not quite willing to put this in the good section, but the maybe section is a decent step up here.

White Bird - October 4

Another movie that sounds like an awards film. From the author of the book “Wonder,” adapted by Marc Forster, director of the 2022  remake of “A Man Called Otto,” which was really good. He also directed “World War Z” and “Finding Neverland” back in the day, so this is a good director. I don’t know much about the book, but the description talks about how one act of kindness can live on forever. If not an awards film, maybe it’s a simple feel-good movie?

Venom 3 - November 8

I’ve heard rumblings that they might actually make this Venom movie rated R, which they SHOULD’VE done with “Let There Be Carnage.” Normally I say just make a good movie and I don’t care about the rating, but they finally did Carnage, but did not do Carnage justice, which was disappointing because I enjoyed the first Venom movie more than most and I like Tom Hardy as the dual role of Venom and Eddie Brock. But given that we don’t yet know exactly where they’re going with this third movie, I don’t know exactly how excited I can be. Stay tuned, I guess.

Red One - November 15

The bizarre Christmas Santa movie with JK Simmons as Santa Claus, and Dwayne Johnson, Chris Evans, and Lucy Liu as some sort of characters. This is supposed to be a potential franchise starter for potential re-imagined holiday mythology. I’m not sure what to think about it, but Jake Kasdan is directing and he did both of the new Jumanji movies, so that’s a plus.

The Old Guard 2 - TBD 2024 (Netflix)

We end with a Netflix movie that is not yet decided on a release date. And there is a whole Wikipeida page on upcoming Netflix movies if you want to go through them. I’ve put a few of them here, but you can definitely go down quite the rabbit whole with that. Of all of them to put on here, I do remember that I really enjoyed “The Old Guard.” Sequels to this type of movie could end up being bad, but if we get a second one at some point this year, I would give it a chance admist the very deep and never-ending see of Netflix originals that are around.

Saturday, January 6, 2024

Movie Preview: January 2024

In what feels like record time, the year 2023 is now behind us and we are now currently embarking on the year 2024. As such, there's a few blog posts that I like to get to every year to kick off the new year. The big post is my wrap-up of 2023 with my list of top 10 favorite movies of the year. But I always give myself a few extra weeks on that one. So, while it may seem a bit counterintuitive, before we wrap up 2023, we're going to preview 2024. But before we preview 2024, we're going to deep dive into January first. I feel like I've done things slightly different every year with the yearly preview and the January preview. But this time around with how the schedule worked out, it made sense in my mind to do January first.

January is always a bit of an interesting month. There's always a slate of new releases, of course. There have been good movies released and ones that have performed well, but yet there is a common stigma that it's a dumping ground month where studios release movies that they don't care about. They save their big releases for the holidays or maybe in late February or March if they don't want to wait for the summer. Then they dump the leftovers in January to get them out of the way. But mixed in with that are the movies that actually got released over the holiday that enjoy an extended runway without much serious competition. Then finishing the trifecta are the awards movies that maybe didn't want to release wide in a competitive market, but were required to have some sort of release to qualify, so they open in a limited fashion in December and expand wide around Oscar nominations - which are on January 23 this year - to take advantage the boost from the awards buzz.

This January will have a fascinating combination of the three. There wasn't a Star Wars, Avatar, or Spider-Man movie released this past Christmas, so it was a bit of a quieter holiday frame, but there was a lot that came that will still be around this month and a good number of awards expansions as well. That said, the bigger emphasis with this post will be on the newer releases as I talked about most of the others last month, but there's still an interesting combination of new releases that should catch some people's attention. 

As always, release date information for this post is courtesy of boxofficepro.com and the-numbers.com. The movies listed are the ones currently scheduled for a wide release in the United States and Canada and are always subject to change. 

January 5 - 7

Universal's "Night Swim"
While there was no massive movie over the holidays, there were a large quantity of movies that opened sporadically throughout season. With the dust seemingly settled, “Wonka” and “Migration” seem to be the two that have risen to the top. Among the rest, weekday box office totals have seen various combinations of “Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom,” “Anyone But You,” “The Color Purple” and “The Boys in the Boat” jockeying for the spots right below. We'll see what order everything ends up in when the weekend concludes, but those will be the top movies. Despite not having huge openings, most of these are enjoying decent legs. 

Opening somewhere in the mix is the lone new release, the horror film Night Swim. January horror is very common. More often than not, a January horror film is associated with the previously mentioned “dumping ground” phenomenon of January. A common place for a studio to just leave a horror film that they don't care about. That said, dumping ground fodder or not, January has been a consistently profitable area for horror. Some studios have actually been confident enough to release their good horror movies there, as evidenced by last January with “M3GAN” and January 2022 with the reboot/sequel “Scream,” both of which opened above $30 million and were received very well. Could “Night Swim” continue that trend? Well… no. Like the movie “Lights Out,” it's based on a short film where said director gets to come make a feature-length version of their short. The premise follows a girl in her pool at night with something watching her. This new version is that, but 90 minutes. It's a Blumhouse production with a small $15 million budget, so it doesn't need much for success, but the 27 percent Rotten Tomatoes score doesn't give much confidence and the general audience buzz does not seem to be there. A $10-15 million opening is about what's expected as opposed to being the next January breakout horror hit. 

January 12 - 14

Paramount's "Mean Girls"
Continuing the recent trend of surprise musicals will be the musical adaptation of Mean Girls in this second weekend of January. I'm not 100 percent sure why certain studios are scared to advertise to the world that they made a musical, but that's what this is. And like “Wonka,” if you went in solely based on the trailers and knew nothing else, you might be a tad bit surprised when they start breaking out into song and dance. This version of “Mean Girls” is actually parallel to “The Color Purple.” Both original films got adapted into Broadway musicals and both new movies are not remakes of the original film, but are rather adaptations of the Broadway musical. “Means Girls” was actually initially scheduled to go straight to Paramount+, but they instead opted for a theatrical release, which looks like a good decision as this is expected to open around $30 million. For comparison, the original 2004 movie opened to $24.4 million, which adjusted for ticket price inflation would be $41.4 million. 

The second new release of this weekend is the latest from director Jeymes Samuel, The Book of Clarence. Samuel's first directorial feature was the 2021 Netflix film “The Harder They Fall” and now he dives into a curious Biblical epic of sorts that Samuel said was modeled after Biblical epics such as “The Ten Commandments” (1956), “The Greatest Story Ever Told” (1965), “Samson and Delilah” (1949) and “Ben-Hur” (1959). Perhaps parallel in a way to “Ben-Hur,” at least in terms of having a fictional protagonist set in the backdrop of the story of Christ, Clarence is a “nobody” living in 33 A.D. Jerusalem and is captivated by the idea of bringing glory and relevance to himself by acting as a Messiah or becoming a “13th Apostle.” In the midst of his journey, he interacts with a lot of the New Testament figures such as Pontius Pilot, John the Baptist, as well as Jesus and the apostles themselves. LaKeith Stanfield plays Clarence and he's joined by quite the cast of actors. The movie debuted at the BFI London Film Festival to mostly positive reviews and from that it seems to be more comedic and entertaining rather than anything spiritual or religious. From the first 17 reviews it stands at a 94 percent score, those reviews coming from the festival release. It remains to be seen what general audiences decide to make of it and if it can manage to gain an audience. 

The third wide release of the weekend is perhaps a tad bit more straightforward. At least when you're going in, you'll be well aware of exactly what you're getting yourself into. It's the new Jason Statham action film The Beekeeper. In this movie, Statham plays a literal Beekeeper. Although that gig might be more of a cover up to help him blend in. Turns out there's a secret organization called “The Beekeepers” that, as described by a character in the trailer, is a special program outside the chain of command. Or then as Statham himself puts it, “I protect the Hive. When the system is out of balance, I correct it.” All that being more of a plot mechanism for Statham to be angry at people, causing him to punch and shoot a whole lot of people who get in his way. Statham has certainly shown up in a lot of major franchises as one of the more popular action stars. But he also seems very happy to also show up sporadically in smaller action films like this. Although this “small” action film is directed by David Ayer, director of “Fury” and the 2016 “Suicide Squad,” so it has plenty of big names behind. But it's still not exactly projected to make much of a dent at the weekend box office. Perhaps it's the type of movie that'll show up in a Jason Statham 4-pack set in your local $5 Walmart bin in a few years from now. 

The final release of the weekend is not a new release, but is rather an actual theatrical release of Pixar's Soul. Yes, this is the 2020 Pixar film Disney sent straight to Disney+ when they were in their phase of sending everything straight to Disney+, thinking streaming is the new thing that'll take over the movie industry. In hindsight that's seen as a huge mistake wherein Disney just kept repeatedly shooting themselves in the foot. Now that they've realized that the theatrical industry is still the way to make money, they can't get their audience back to theater as they've conditioned them to skip theaters and wait for Disney+. It's hard to get people to start spending money again when they've learned to wait and get everything for free. Anyways, in their latest attempt to make amends, they'll be releasing “Soul,” “Luca,” and “Turning Red” into theaters this year as those were the three Pixar movies that skipped theaters. Whether or not this strategy will work is yet to be seen. It doesn't seem like many will pay to see a movie in theaters that they can see for free at home. But any fans that wanted the theatrical experience for these three movies will at least have the option presented to them. 

January 19 - 21

Bleeker Street's "I.S.S."
The third weekend of this month is probably going to be dominated mostly by holdovers. The last part of January is mostly empty in regards to new releases, but there is at least one scheduled wide release and that is a new sci-fi movie called I.S.S., which is short for International Space Station. The movie is set in the “near future” and follows a group of astronauts that is a mix of Americans and Russians. They notice a war beginning down below and are given the instruction by their individual governments to take over the station by any means necessary. As consequence, battle on the station breaks as the astronauts turn on each other, leads to a sci-fi thriller. This is currently projected by Box Office Pro to earn between $2-7 million. It's had a bit of buzz, but Bleeker Street might have to give this a bit more of a push for it to really get noticed. 

I'm reading conflicting information as to whether or not this next movie is getting a wide release or simply a limited release this weekend, but nevertheless it seems important enough to bring up Ava DuVernay's new movie Origin. The movie is based on the nonfiction book “Caste: The Origins of Our Discontents,” which describes racism in the United States as being an aspect of the caste system. The movie itself follows author Isabel Wilkerson, played by Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, as she comes to the discovery of these ideas. By calender release, this is a 2024 movie. However, it did hit the festival circuit this past year and had an Oscar qualifying run in December, making it eligible for awards this year and might also be classified as a 2023 movie by some because of it. However, it feels like this is a movie that should be getting a lot more buzz than it currently is. Yet for some reason NEON, the distributor here, hasn't given it much of a push to either put it in the minds of Oscar voters or in the general public conscience to make people aware of its existence. And that seems like a bit of a mistake.

January 26 - 28

Lionsgate’s "Miller's Girl"
As mentioned at the beginning of this post, Oscar nominations happen on the 23rd of this month. What this means is that you should probably look for movies such as “Poor Things,” “American Fiction,” “The Zone of Interest,” “All of Us Strangers” or “Anatomy of a Fall” to finally get more of a wide release, taking advantage of Oscar nominations - depending on how those go. You might even see other movies such as “The Holdovers” come back to more theaters or even “Oppenheimer” showing back up in theaters after leaving. Those movies will be more of the story of this final weekend. 

As far as new releases? Well, let's just say studios took this week off. There's plenty on deck for February and even more in March. But currently the only new release listed as wide is a movie called Miller's Girl. By the looks of the trailer, it seems like the movie is about a female teenage student trying to seduce her older male teacher, with him doing his best to resist. The trailer even ends with the warning of “There are complex themes that appear in this film.” It then provides a link for resources on some of the issues. If there's a major selling point, it's that the student is played by Jenna Ortega, who has become a bit of a superstar as of late. She is, in fact, an adult at the age of 21, but has a young enough face to continue playing teenagers. The teacher, Mr. Miller, is played by Martin Freeman. The movie will premier at the Palm Springs Film Festival on January 11, so some will get an opportunity to see it early before its theatrical release.

Saturday, December 9, 2023

Movie Preview: December 2023

December is already one weekend in, with the second weekend about to start. The goal with this monthly post is to always get it out before or during the first weekend of the month, or as quickly as I can thereafter. However, at the end of November my computer died and I didn’t get the new one set up until a day or two ago. So that’s why this post is delayed a bit this month.

That said, we’re in December and this has always been a bit of a backloaded month anyways, so we haven’t missed too much. So we’ll recap that first weekend and dive into what the Christmas season has in store, which is quite a bit, actually. At least in terms of quantity of releases. What movies will connect with audiences? That remains to be seen. I’m not sure I see many guaranteed box office smashes, but there’s certainly plenty that at least have decent potential. And if something doesn’t open high, no need to immediately sound the alarms. December is a unique time of year where things often open smaller and hold much better throughout the holiday season and into January as opposed to being so reliant on the opening weekend totals.

And for the sake of the market as a whole, let’s hope something manages to hit. November was a very rough month to start the holiday season with a double dose of massive Disney failures in “The Marvels” and “Wish,” with a Hunger Games prequel that opened to less than half of the previous low in the franchise.

As always, release date information for this post is courtesy of boxofficepro.com and the-numbers.com. The movies listed are the ones currently scheduled for a wide release in the United States and Canada and are always subject to change.

December 1 - 3 

"RENAISSANCE: A Film by Beyoncรฉ"
The weekend following Thanksgiving is often a more quiet one. Studios often load up for the Thanksgiving holiday, then give themselves a bit of a cool down phase before priming up for the Christmas holiday. Typically it’s a good idea to have your biggest releases as close to the holiday as you can instead of opening right after the holiday is finished.

That said, there was a decent amount of releases that made for a somewhat busy weekend. Headlining everything was Beyoncรฉ seeing the massive success Taylor Swift had earlier in the year and wanting to join the party with her own concert movie, RENAISSANCE: A Film by Beyoncรฉ. This was announced shortly after the Taylor Swift concert movie was announced, which was presumably Beyoncรฉ’s camp seeing those pre-sales and deciding they want in. It was either that or an interesting coincidence. Either way, this could end up as a decent new trend. Not that Taylor Swift started the trend, but her making more money in one weekend than any other attempt had in their entire runs certainly might spark new interest. Now “RENAISSANCE” was never expected to hit the heights of “The Eras Tour,” which opened to $92.8 million and so far has made $178.9 million domestically and $249.6 million worldwide, but a $21.8 million first place opening for Beyoncรฉ is certainly nothing to scoff at. It’s actually more par for the course for this type of event. Before Taylor, the previous high was “Justin Bieber: Never Say Never” in 2011, which made $73.01 million after a $29.5 million opening.

“RENAISSANCE” was initially scheduled as the only major release this weekend, but making huge headway leading up to its release, mostly due to buzz and word of mouth was Toho Studios’ Godzilla Minus One. It was initially planned to only open in moderate release for just a week or two, but that plan certainly changed after becoming one of the best reviewed films of the year. It wound up opening in third place with $11.4 million. Now this isn’t the American MonsterVerse with Godzilla and Kong that is four movies in, with a fifth coming next year. This is the Japanese studio that initially debuted Godzilla in 1954 and has now made 33 total Godzilla movies, with “Minus One” being No. 33. Their previous movie was “Shin Godzilla” in 2016, which only made $1.9 million total in America as it made most of its $75.6 million worldwide gross overseas. So “Minus One” is already far past that in just a few days. The movie takes Godzilla back to his origins as a monster, not a protector, and a setting of post-World War II Japan.

Those two movies were mostly it for the major headlines of the weekend. The rest of the top five was filled up by Thanksgiving holdovers. But we did have a trio of smaller releases towards the bottom of the top 10. Opening in seventh place was the Indian film Animal. Indian Cinema has actually done pretty well in the states this year. And the studios distributing this movies have their system down of knowing where to release the movies. Despite opening in just 700 theaters, “Animal” made $6.5 million this weekend, which ended up higher than the two movies we’ll get to in a second, despite them having double or tripe the theater count. “Animals begins as a movie about a father and son, but apparently goes quite a few directions in its 204 minutes of runtime, including it turning into some sort of action/war epic at some point.

Below that at No. 8 is the Angel Studios release of The Shift. The movie stars Neal McDonough and is about a man trying to escape a dystopian world in order to return to his wife. In regards to Angel Studios, they are mostly known for the TV series “The Chosen” about the life of Christ, but found massive success earlier this year with “Sound of Freedom.” “The Shift” has them experimenting a bit more with genre, with this labeled as a sci-fi film, and instead of being another massive hit ends up more along the lines of their previous release, “After Death,” a documentary that opened in 2,645 theaters with $5.05 million. “The Shift” opened in a similar 2,450 theaters with $4.3 million.

Rounding out this trio of smaller releases was Silent Night, opening in ninth place with just $3.01 million, albeit in a slightly lower 1,870 theaters. As you can probably tell by the title, this is a Christmas themed movie, but specifically its a Christmas action movie from Lionsgate, the studio who released “John Wick,” which they will probably remind people in every action movie they release for the foreseeable future. Joel Kinnaman is the lead and he’s out to get revenge against a ruthless gang on Christmas Eve. Unlike “John Wick,” this movie was met with mediocre reviews at best and was unable to catch on with general audiences.

December 8 - 10

GKIDS' "The Boy and the Heron"
Moving forward to the current weekend that we’re in, there’s only one major release this weekend. But like the first weekend, there’s a couple of moderate releases and a massive limited release title. But the one major release is Studio Ghibli’s The Boy and the Heron. For the last several years this movie has been labeled as the final movie from acclaimed anime filmmaker Hayao Miyazaki. Fans certainly hope Miyazaki finds the pool of eternal life and lives forever, but in his perspective he feels that maybe he might not have quite as many years left on Earth, so he wanted to come back and make one final film as a tribute to his posterity after previously making his other final film, the 2013 movie “The Wind Rises.” Turns out there’s buzz, partially from Studio Ghibli themselves, that Miyazaki might actually have a few more final films after this one, which I’m sure no one is complaining about. However, it’s still a major event in that it’s been 10 years since his last movie. The movie was a massive success in Japan earlier this year and is looking to dethrone Beyoncรฉ for the top spot in America this weekend with a projected $10-15 million after coming out on top Thursday night with $2.4 million.

In terms of theater count this weekend, the next highest release is Waitress: The Musical, which opened Thursday night in 1,214 theaters. It might pick up more heading into the weekend proper and come somewhat close to the 2,200 theaters of “The Boy and the Heron.” But regardless, this is an event wherein Fathom Events has paired with distributor Bleeker Street to release this recording of the Broadway musical “Waitress.” The musical was based on the 2007 movie of the same name, with music and lyrics by Sara Bareilles and the book by Jessie Nelson, and began its run on Broadway in 2016 after first premiering in Cambridge, Massachusetts in 2015. The musical played on Broadway until 2020 and has done a few other tours since. This particular recording of the musical that’s being released was recorded 2021 during its limited run at the Ethel Barrymore Theatre in New York in an attempt to slowly reopen Broadway following the COVID shutdown.

Releasing in about 640 theaters is the Book of Mormon war epic The Oath from LDS filmmaker Darin Scott, formerly known as Darin Southam, a somewhat popular LDS actor who most notably played the lead in the movie “Ephraim’s Rescue.” For the last 13 years, Darin has had a long-term goal of writing and directing the first major Book of Mormon war epic. And in 2023 his dream is finally coming true after a very long journey. This will probably perform best in Utah and Idaho, but as noted they did manage to get it into over 600 theaters nationwide. After seeing the success of “Sound of Freedom,” Darin has high hopes that his movie will be the next major phenomenon. Whether or not that actually happens feels unlikely, but at least one can respect his perseverance and optimism for this project.

That’s it for the wide releases, but finally hitting limited release this weekend is the potential best-picture front-runner Poor Things. This will start in just 9 theaters this weekend and slowly expand outwards. The goal here is probably not necessarily be a holiday hit, but make itself known as the awards season progresses. The movie is the latest from director Yorgos Lanthimos, who is known for his odd, off-kilter movies like “The Lobster,” “Dogtooth,” “The Killing of a Sacred Deer” and “The Favourite,” the latter of which received 10 Oscar nominations, definitely putting Yorgos in the awards spotlight. His next movie has been highly anticipated and has been met with near universal praise since its premier at the Venice Film Festival in September and is predicted to compete with the likes of “Oppenheimer,” “The Holdovers” and “Barbie” for the best picture prize. Whether or not this connects with general audiences is a different story. Yorgos is very much an acquired taste as a director and this is essentially his version of a Frankenstein-like story with scientist Dr. Godwin Baxter, played by Willem Dafoe, bringing a young woman named Bella Baxter, played by Emma Stone, back to life, where she then explores all sorts of things regarding this thing called life.

December 15 - 17

Warner Bros.' "Wonka"
While the first two weekends obviously brought a high number of movies into the market, at least in regards to a lot of those moderate to small releases, the third weekend of December is where the holiday fun begins. There’s only one wide release, but it’s a family film with potential to win the month and that’s Wonka. This is the third major theatrical film adaptation of Roald Dahl’s popular novel that probably doesn’t need much of an introduction. The book was released in 1964 and has had a very long life since then, first being adapted in 1971 with a bit of an inverted title, “Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory,” with Gene Wilder as Willy Wonka. Then in 2005, Tim Burton took has stab at it, reverting the title back to “Charlie and the Chocolate Factory,” while casting Johnny Depp in the lead. And now Timothรฉe Chalamet gets his turn as the character in “Wonka,” which focuses on a young Willy Wonka before he opened his famous chocolate factory. The movie is directed by Paul King, director of the two live-action Paddington movies, and based on early reaction is looking to be quite the crowd pleaser over the holidays. What hasn’t been pushed to heavily is that this is a musical. When that word comes out, the buzz could potentially higher.

Given that I mentioned the release of “Poor Things,” I feel the need to briefly mention a couple of other awards contenders hitting limited release this weekend. The first of that is the winner of the People’s Choice Award at the Toronto International Film Festival and that is American Fiction, a movie starring Jeffrey Wright as a novelist who is upset at the establishment for consistently profiting off of “Black” entertainment. So to prove a point, he creates an anonymous pen name to write his own “Black” novel. In regards to Oscar correlation, the winner of the People’s Choice Award at TIFF has a pretty strong correlation with best picture nominations. The last 11 winners were all nominated for best picture. Going back to 2008, five of them have won best picture. This year it would appear “American Fiction” has too much competition to actually win, but it would appear its chances for a nomination is at the very least is pretty strong.

While perhaps not on quite as strong ground as “American Fiction,” nevertheless the other notable limited release this weekend is Zone of Interest. This movie has also hit just about every major festival this season and has built quite a bit of buzz, but the subject matter has also lent it to receive some push back. The movie is about Rudolf Hรถss, a German officer during Nazi Germany, showing him and his wife trying to build a good life for him and his family. While the premise is certainly not showing him as a justified protagonist, perhaps not everyone will be on board for a movie about Nazi Germany. But still, it will at least be in the conversation this season. The movie is directed by Jonathan Glazer, who most recently directed the 2013 movie “Under the Skin,” so he’s not exactly one who directs movies with easy or comfortable subject matter.

December 22

Warner Bros.' "Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom"
There are, count it… EIGHT movies hitting wide release over the Christmas weekend. With Christmas falling on a Monday this year, five of them are taking a more traditional route of releasing on the Friday before Christmas, while the other three are releasing right on Christmas Day, so the Monday after the weekend. Because of that, instead of my traditional format of separating by weekend, I will separate these movies by their release day, either on the 22nd or the 25th.

Leading things off is the final movie in the “SnyderVerse” continuity of DC movies, Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom. There’s perhaps a lot of people, both inside the studio and as DC fans, that are very happy to move on from this phase of the DC Universe. James Gunn has taken over at DC and will begin a new chapter at DC with his Summer 2025 release of “Superman: Legacy.” What the correct move was in hindsight for Warner Bros. and DC can be debated, but it certainly feels like announcing at the end of 2022 that the Universe will be rebooted, then continuing to release four “lame duck” DC movies in 2023 was not timed the best as the previous three - “Shazam! Fury of the Gods,” “The Flash,” and “Blue Beetle” - all failed pretty miserably. Will James Wan’s Aquaman sequel buck that trend and perform well or will it be the latest to fail? There’s not a lot of confidence for it at the moment, but nevertheless an opening weekend performance will not be the thing to judge it by, especially with Christmas Eve on Sunday, a day where people don’t usually go to theaters. The first Aquaman only opened to $67.9 million in this same December slot, but legged it out to $335.1 million domestically and $1.1 billion worldwide, making it the only movie in the DCEU (“SyderVerse”) to cross $1 billion and the second highest domestic gross behind “Wonder Woman” at $412.6 million. So if there’s any DC movie right now that still has potential to do will, it’s this one.

Another movie to definitely not count out is the latest animation movie from Illumination, Migration. Ever since breaking onto the scene with “Despicable Me” in 2010, Illumination has been on fire, with pretty much zero misfires on their resumรฉ. In fact, this year they’re at their absolute peak as they’re fresh of the release of “The Super Mario Bros. Movie,” which made a staggering $1.363 billion worldwide. Their now 13 animated features have averaged $286 million at the domestic box office and $725 million worldwide. “Migration” is them taking a bit of a risk. It’s an original movie, not based on a previous property or a sequel of a previous film. As such, its obviously not expected to do as well. It’s opening 3-day weekend is currently projected in the $15-30 million range. But again, that means less in the holiday season. In 2016, Illumination opened “Sing” around Christmas to $35.3 million and that wound up with $270.8 million. Just Christmas year DreamWorks opened “Puss & Boots: The Last Wish” to just $12.4 million and that held on to eventually make $185.5 million. So if this little movie about a family of ducks catches on, it has the potential to hang around.

Anyone looking for a drama film around Christmas has the option of seeing The Iron Claw, a movie about the Von Erich family, a family dynasty of professional wrestlers. Fritz Von Erich, born Jack Adkisson, was the father of six sons, one of whom died at the age of six and the other five having been professional wrestlers, following in the footsteps of their father. The movie primarily focuses on three of the sons instead of all five and is headlined by Zac Efron as Kevin Von Erich. The brief Wikipedia summary of the plot mentions that the popularized the iron claw wrestling hold, hence the name of the movie, but also mentioned that in addition to fighting their battles in the ring, they had a long string of personal tragedies outside of it. And if you click on the ensuing link to learn about their family, boy did they have quite the long list of personal tragedies, which I’m guessing the movie is going to dive into. Initial reviews on this one are very positive and this could be the type of movie that manages to ride the line of being successful with general audiences while also possibly getting a decent amount of awards attention.

Rounding out the list of varying genres this Christmas, the next genre on the list is romance, with Anyone But You, released by Sony and starring Sydney Sweeney and Glen Powell as our lead couple. The premise sees the couple having a great first date, but then finding their relationship turning ice cold until they are unexpectedly reunited at a wedding in Australia where they decide to “pretend” to be a couple. This certainly has the star power to work, and is directed by Will Gluck, director of “Easy A,” “Friends with Benefits,” and “Peter Rabbit.” But despite that, tracking has this barely on the radar, so perhaps awareness isn’t super high. Or maybe it’s the wrong holiday they’re releasing this on.

The final movie for this initial half of the Christmas weekend is the Indian film Salaar: Part 1 Ceasefire. As mentioned at the top of this post, Indian Cinema has done quite well. We quite frequently see Indian films come seemingly out of nowhere, releasing in a moderate number of theaters, but doing very well on a per theater average. So it’s hard to count this one out. This one appears to be an action film where the leader of one gang tries to keep a promise made to his dying friend by taking on the other criminal gangs.

December 25

Warner Bros.' "The Color Purple"
Fast forwarding just three days to Christmas Day on Monday, there are the three additional releases. The major one from this trio is The Color Purple. The origins of this movie date back to 1985 with the original movie “The Color Purple,” directed by Steven Spielberg, a movie about a Southern black woman struggling to find her identity after suffering abuse from her father and others over several decades. The movie was nominated for 11 Oscars. It took home none of those. But double digit nominations is still an impressive feat. While it would be accurate to describe this 2023 version as a remake, a more accurate description would be to note that the movie was adapted into a Broadway Musical in 2005. This current movie is a movie adaptation of the musical. As such, if the movie catches on, musicals have a very positive history around the Christmas box office. Early reactions suggest that this could definitely be a big crowd-pleaser. And if it’s even luckier, how close can it come to matching the nomination total of the original at the Oscars?

Not a competition vs. Ford this time around, but next up on Christmas will see NEON get Ferrari ready to ride. This comes from director Michael Mann, who directed a trio of 90s hits in “The Last of the Mohicans,” “Heat,” and “The Insider.” He had a fairly decent streak in the early 2000s as well, but has only done one movie since 2009 and that was 2015’s “Blackhat.” So he is back in business and the story he has to tell takes us back to 1957 where Enzo Ferrari, played by Adam Driver, decides to enter the 1,000 mile race across Italy called the Mille Miglia, this after a string of losses puts some of his personal life and business at risk. This also could be a potential awards player, but the early reaction has been a tad bit more mixed than would be necessary for it to break through like “Ford v. Ferrari” did a few years back. But it will at least try to attempt to attract a similar crowd as that one.

The final movie of the long Christmas weekend sees George Clooney back in the director’s chair with The Boys in the Boat. The title of this movie is a fairly appropriate description. It’s about some boys in a boat, specifically taking us back to the 1930s to tell the story of University of Washington’s rowing team that went from their beginnings in the Depression Era to competing at the Berlin Olympics in 1936. This movie has not yet screened to any critics or awards pundits at the time of me posting this and doesn’t seem to be pushing heavily for awards, but along with “Ferrari,” it does give people a second option for a sports movie over the Christmas. Neither are tracking super high at the moment, so maybe directly competing for the same audience might not have been the best idea. And with so many total options, it might be hard for everything to do well in competition, but if reviews turn positive, you never know what could stick around for a bit.

December 29 - 31

There is a final weekend of December. But there are no new  wide releases. Whatever movies surface to the top of the box office during a busy Christmas will have plenty of breathing room before something new comes to join the market. 

Friday, November 3, 2023

Movie Preview - November 2023

Outside a duo of very notable hits, it was a fairly quiet October at the box office. After a pretty huge summer, things have taken a huge dip in the fall and are working their way back up. At a domestic total of $553.9 million, it’s up a bit from September ($472.8 million), as well as last October ($469.1 million), but not as high as October 2021 ($623.3 million). As expected, Taylor Swift led the way with her Eras Tour concert movie. Although it didn’t open as astronomically high as some were expecting, it still became the highest grossing concert movie in just three days with a $92.8 million opening weekend. Said opening was the second highest opening all time in October, behind only 2019’s “Joker” at $96.2 million.

And speaking of that list, following two Venom movies at third and fourth (“Venom: Let There be Carnage” with $90.0 million and “Venom” with $80.3 million), “Five Nights at Freddy’s” is now fifth on that all-time October openings list with $80.0 million. So having two all-time October openings in one month is very impressive. But yeah, everything else just cleared the way for these two movies, which makes the overall total a tad bit low despite that.

A dip like this is pretty normal, though, for this time of the year - down over half from the billion dollar summer months. November, though? It’s the holidays and that’s where things start going back up. One additional variable here that has definitely had an effect on the box office is the ongoing actor’s strike. While everyone hopes it’s resolved soon, with a deal that the actors are happy with, not having actors available to work not only effects a lot of movies next year that have delayed due to them unable to finish filming, but some studios have elected to push other finished movies back a bit so that they can have their cast available to help promote their movie. And that has impacted November in a very large Dune-sized way that we’ll get into more in the first weekend section, but there’s still plenty of other titles hitting theaters, especially as we get closer to Thanksgiving, so let’s jump in and see what November has to offer!

As always, release date information for this post is courtesy  of boxofficepro.com and the-numbers.com. The movies listed are the ones currently scheduled for a wide release in the United States and Canada and are always subject to change.

November 3 – 5

A24’s "Priscilla"
As referenced in the intro to this post, this initial weekend has a very Dune-sized hole in it. The previous “Dune” wasn’t actually a massive box office hit. It had a domestic opening of $41.0 million and finished with $108.3 million. The worldwide total wound up being $391.8 million, so it’s not like the movie was a failure on its $165 million budget, but for a massive sci-fi epic based on a very popular novel, Warner Bros. was probably expecting a tad bit more? The reaction was very positive and the movie wound up with 10 Oscar nominations, winning six of them. So “Dune: Part Two” is expected to be much bigger, and given that Warner Bros. kinda needs it to be much bigger to justify continuing the franchise by adapting “Dune Messiah,” it kinda makes sense for them to wait until the likes of Zendaya and and Timothee Chalamet are available to help promote the film. So the movie got pushed to March.

In the meantime, it would’ve made sense for something to move up into this spot to kick off the holiday season. At the very least, “The Marvels” moving up a week to give it extra time before the Thanksgiving rush would’ve made a lot of sense. But that didn’t happen. Instead, “Five Nights at Freddy’s” is poised for a second box office win, even though it is expected to have a massive fall from its $80 million opening. Granted, most horror films tank hard in their second weekend, but this one seemed to be especially boosted by fans of the franchise, which usually is an indication of heavy frontloaded. But still, a second weekend in the $20-30 million range is an easy No. 1 hold when there’s no competition.

The highest profile new release of the available options is the nationwide expansion of the movie Priscilla. We’re on a bit of an Elvis Presley kick in Hollywood right now, especially after the musical biopic “Elvis” was a massive success. “Priscilla” tells the story from the vantage point of… Priscilla Presley, Elvis’ ex-wife, who serves as an executive producer on the film. The movie is directed by Sofia Coppola, daughter of Francis Ford Coppola, director of the first two Godfather films. Sofia over the years has made a name for herself in the film industry instead of just being the daughter of one of the most famous film directors as in 2003 she was a triple nominee at the Oscars for writing, directing, and best picture for her movie “Lost in Translation,” winning her Oscar for best original screenplay. “Priscilla” is thought to be a potential Oscar player and so far has decent response. It’s done very well in limited release and has an 86 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, and played well at the festival circuit. Whether or not that translates to mainstream success is a different story. “Dumb Money” had similar success in September, but only opened to $2.4 million in its nationwide expansion. “Priscilla” will be opening in 1,450 theaters and is expected to earn $5-8 million.

There are two other moderate releases vying for adult audience’s attention. In 1,492 theaters, Bleeker Street will be playing What Happens Later, which sees the return of Meg Ryan to a new romantic comedy. She plays a girl who ends up snowed-in at an airport overnight with one of her ex-lovers, played by David Duchovny. Meg Ryan is, of course, most known for other rom-coms such as “When Harry Met Sally…,” “You’ve Got Mail” and “Sleepless in Seattle,” so this return could easily be a nostalgic play for those who are fans of her previous work. Not only does she star in the movie, but she’s also directing this one, which is only her second time directing a feature-length movie after directed the 2015 movie “Ithaca.”

The other moderate release will be Roadside Attractions releasing the movie The Marsh King’s Daughter in 1,055 theaters. Perhaps this is not from as notable of a filmmaker as Sofia Coppola or Meg Ryan, but this is from Neil Burger, director of “Limitless,” “Divergent” and “Voyagers.” The actual draw might be the cast of Daisy Ridley and Ben Mendelsohn, or perhaps someone who is in the mood for a crime drama instead of a romantic comedy or historical biopic as this is about a woman, played by Daisy Ridley, who is out seeking for revenge against the man who kidnapped her mother. Neither “What Happens Later” or “The Marsh King’s Daughter” is expected to debut in the top five, but both will be fighting for a spot in the top 10.

November 10 – 12

Marvel's "The Marvels"
After a quiet initial weekend, at least for most, the second weekend of November is where things will start to kick into gear as Marvel Studios will be releasing the 33rd movie in the Marvel Cinematic Universe, Nia DaCosta’s The Marvels, this being the sequel to the massive 2019 hit, “Captain Marvel.” This is not just the next solo adventure of Captain Marvel, though, as this sees Marvel do what they enjoy doing the most, a team-up film to fight a big baddie. Roped into this adventure are a couple of characters from the Disney+ shows, Monica Rambeau from “WandaVision” and Kamala Khan from “Ms. Marvel,” played by Teyonah Parris and Iman Vellani, respectively. And, of course, it wouldn’t be a Marvel movie with another appearance from Samuel L. Jackson as Nick Fury. Our villain here is a character named Dar-Benn, played by Zawe Ashton, and she has the powers of Carol, Monica, and Kamala all entangled, hence the forced team-up to stop her. This movie is not from the directors of the initial “Captain Marvel,” but sees Nia DaCosta take over, she most notably being the director of the 2021 “Candyman” reboot, which was a pretty decent success.

The biggest question in regards to “The Marvels” is how well is this actually going to do. And while many are championing the idea that Marvel is dead and that no one cares, especially in regards to a Captain Marvel sequel that no one wants, it’s worth reminding people that, in the midst of a heavy internet campaign to tank the first movie, the movie opened to $153.4 million and finished with $426.8 million domestically and $1.129 billion worldwide. That said, it’s also worth noting that “Avengers: Endgame” came out a month later and provided a massive boost to the movie. People were wanting to make sure they were caught up before seeing “Endgame.” Yes, things have changed a lot since 2019 for Marvel, and Captain Marvel isn’t necessarily the most popular character. The team-up idea might bounce off many who skipped “Ms. Marvel,” which was one of the lowest viewed Disney+ Marvel series. So yes, there’s a lot going against this movie, especially with no Avengers movie next month. But to those who claim that the MCU is dead, the most recent MCU release was “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” and that did very well.  And, believe it or not, we’re on a streak of six straight MCU releases to open above $100 million. So is the MCU really dead? I say no, even if it is more vulnerable than in the past.

All that said, the expectation is on the lower end of MCU releases, perhaps in the $50-75 million range. The lowest opening is still “The Incredible Hulk” with $55.4 million. While a handful of other early MCU films also fell in that range, maybe a more recent comparison might be “The Eternals” at $71.3 million, “Shang-Chi” at $75.4 million, or “Black Widow” at $80.4 million. Granted, those still aren’t perfect comparisons as that was a part of the COVID recovery phase, but nevertheless that’s still about the expectation here.

There is competition for “The Marvels.” Well… kinda. Opening in what’s expected to be about 1,800 theaters (“The Marvels” will be in around 4,000) is Sony getting a head start on the Christmas season with Journey to Bethlehem. Yes, this is a retelling of the classic Christmas story, the birth of Jesus. That’s easy to discern from the title. The spin here is that this is a musical version of that, described as weaving classic Christmas melodies with humor, faith, and new pop songs. The movie is directed by Adam Anders, a first time director, and written by him and Peter Barsocchini. Anders has been a writer and producer on a variety of projects, but has mainly worked in the musical department, while Barscocchini is most notable for being the writer for “High School Musical” and its sequels, which, yes, is one of the musical departments that Anders helped with. So a musical version of the story of Jesus from the people who worked on High School Musical? That’s certainly a curious combination.

The other notable release this weekend is the expansion of Alexander Payne’s The Holdovers. Similar to the aforementioned “Priscilla” and “Dumb Money,” this was another festival movie that just had its platform debut in New York and Los Angeles at the end of October. While those two had a decent response from festivals and critics that might not translate into awards play and go somewhat unnoticed by mainstream audiences, “The Holdovers” might be a very different story. It had an excellent response from festivals and has a 96 percent score on Rotten Tomatoes, and is currently seen as an awards frontrunner. And it has a premise that could actually play very well with mainstream audiences, especially around the Christmas season. Paul Giamatti plays a grumpy, older instructor at a New England prep school who has to remain on Campus during Christmas break with people who have nowhere to go, including a troublemaker played by newcomer Dominic Sessa and the school’s head nurse, played by Da’Vine Joy Randolph, who has recently lost a son in Vietnam. Maybe this won’t have a massive opening in its expansion this weekend, but it should be a decent word of mouth hit that plays well over the whole holiday season.

November 17 – 19

Lionsgate’s "The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes"
A week after “The Marvels” hits theaters sees a very busy pre-Thanksgiving with quite the allotment of movies hoping to get holiday attention. Leading the way will be what might feel like a trip to about a decade ago with The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes. While the first Hunger Games movie was a March release in 2012, the other three that followed were on this exact weekend in consecutive years, the weekend before Thanksgiving, a slot that other YA movie adaptations such as Harry Potter and Twilight also had success in. All four Hunger Games movies opened north of $100 million, making it easily Lionsgate’s most lucrative franchise. Thus it makes sense that when Suzanne Collins decided to write another book, released in 2020, Lionsgate immediately started production on making that a movie. This is a prequel that takes us back to the 10th Hunger Games, following Coriolanus Snow as the main protagonist, who 64 years later becomes the main antagonist of President Snow in the main trilogy of books.

The biggest question on this one is do people want to go back into the world of the Hunger Games? While yes, all four previous movies opened above $100 million, the third and fourth movie had diminishing returns compared to the first and second. And looking at the even bigger picture, this genre of a YA Dystopian movies adapted from books is one that kinda died. Many tried to follow Hunger Games. Most failed. And even initial popular movies like Divergent failed so hard that they couldn’t even justify finishing the series. So if interest in the genre as a whole died off, are people going to care to come back? Perhaps a recent comparison is the Fantastic Beasts spin-off of the Harry Potter franchise. While that spin-off series started off decently enough, the most recent one last year opened to $42.2 million, finishing with $95.9 million domestically, a final domestic total that is lower than many of the previous opening weekends in the franchise. If the expected $35-50 million that Box Office Pro is currently projecting pans out for “Songbirds & Snakes,” this might be the final swan song of the franchise.  

Onto the other movies of the weekend, though, DreamWorks Animation is putting their name back in the hat with Trolls Band Together, the third movie in the popular Trolls franchise. It also marks the franchise’s return to theaters after “Trolls World Tour” got COVIDed out of theaters and decided to go straight to PVOD. Although official numbers weren’t available, Universal at the time boasted that the movie played excellent on PVOD. On top of that, the initial movie remains super popular, so it makes sense for DreamWorks to continue the franchise. Speaking of DreamWorks, they just recently suffered their most abysmal release with “Rudy Gillman, Teenage Kraken” being completely dead on arrival this summer, opening to $5.5 million and finishing with $15.7 million. But their release right before that was a massive success. “Puss and Boots: The Last Wish” only opened to $12.4 million, but legged all the way out to $185.5 million. If “Trolls Band Together” can put together a weekend of $20-30 million, then hold well throughout Thanksgiving and Christmas, that’ll be a win for DreamWorks. It does have some Disney competition literally five days after its release, but we’ll get to that in a second. Anna Kendrick and Justin Timberlake return for this sequel. And speaking of Timberlake, his band *NSYNC also reunited for the first time in 20 years to write a song for this movie, titled “Better Place.” That’s certainly notable.

This weekend provides something for pretty much everyone as Eli Roth has a treat for horror fans with his new slasher flick themed for the holiday and titled simply Thanksgiving. While on the surface this may seem like a run of the mill slasher flick, and while viewing the movie that might the end result, this nevertheless has a more interesting backstory on how it came to be. In 2007 there was a movie called “Grindhouse,” a movie presented as a double feature of Robert Rodriguez’s “Planet Terror” and Quentin Tarantino’s “Death Proof.” As a part of the experience, there were a handful of fictional movie trailers for fake films. One of those fake movies was a slasher film called “Thanksgiving,” directed by Eli Roth, who directed the fake trailer. Fast forward 16 years and now we have an actual movie based on the fake movie trailer. “Grindhouse” fans have been hoping for a long time that this would become an actual reality. And now they have their wish. Eli Roth’s shtick is usually very bloody, graphic horror films that land in the “torture porn” or “splatter fest” subgenre of horror, so this is definitely not going to be for the faint of heart, but rather a fun, niche surprise for “Grindhouse” fans.

Rounding out this weekend is an indie sports drama from a little known director named Taika Waititi, presenting his new movie Next Goal Wins. OK, yes, that introduction was a bit tongue-in-cheek. But before Taika directed two Thor movies, “Ragnarok” and “Love and Thunder,” while also being involved a bit with “The Mandalorian,” smaller indie films were what Taika did best. Yes, “Jojo Rabbit” happened in between Thor films, but before that was “What We Do in the Shadows” and “Hunt for the Wilderpeople,” two movies that have been discovered more in the years since Taika directed “Ragnarok.” With “Next Goal Wins,” Taika steps away from the big blockbuster, at least for a bit, to go back to his roots with a smaller film. The movie tells the story of the infamously terrible American Samoa soccer team, in which they lost a FIFA match in 2021 by a score of 31-0. Michael Fassbender in the movie plays a new coach who comes in to try to help them at least be able to score a goal. While the movie isn’t expected to be an Oscar player like “Jojo Rabbit” was, it nevertheless has the potential to be a solid feel-good movie over the holidays for those interested in a sports drama or curious about Taika’s next film.

November 22 – 26

Disney’s "Wish"
Advancing five days into the future, movies opening on the week of Thanksgiving open on a Wednesday instead of a Friday, hence the longer date span here. And while all the movies from the previous weekend are still going to be in play, Disney enters into the ring with their new animated movie Wish. On October 16, 1923, Walt Disney Studios was founded by two brothers, Walt and Roy Disney, initially as the Disney Brothers Studio. I bring this up, not necessarily for a history lesson that everyone already knows, but to point out that Disney this year has been celebrating 100 years of Disney and “Wish” seems very much tied into that as a movie about a new 17-year-old female protagonist named Asha who makes a passionate plea to the stars when she senses a darkness in the Kingdom that others might not see. All of that feels perfectly aligned with classic Disney as a tribute to Disney of old. And while not reverting completely to a classic hand-drawn animation style, this is nevertheless a combination of modern computer animation with Disney’s historical watercolor animation. And yes, it’s also a new Disney musical, led by Chris Buck, Jennifer Lee, and others who worked with Disney on “Frozen.”

Disney certainly has been very mortal at the box office of late. COVID combined with the hard push for Disney+ trained much of their audience to not show up to theaters for their animated movies, both from Pixar and Walt Disney Animation Studios, but rather to wait for Disney+. In the year or two since the initial huge streaming push, studios have learned again that theaters and not streaming is what makes them the most money, yet it’s been hard for Disney in their attempt to retrain their audience to go back to theaters. Last year for Disney Animation Studios, which is where “Wish” specifically comes from, “Strange World” opened to just $12.2 million, while in 2021 “Encanto” opened to just $27.2 million, before it later became a Disney+ phenomenon. And that’s not even mentioning the struggles of Pixar, who saw several movies in a row skip theaters altogether and is still recovering from that. But in pre-COVID days, this Thanksgiving slot has been very good for Disney. In 2013, “Frozen” opened to $93.9 million over the 5-day, “Moana” in 2016 to $82.1 million, and “Ralph Breaks the Internet” in 2019 to $84.8 million. The traditional 3-day opening (Friday to Sunday after Thanksgiving) for the latter two were both in the $56 million range, which is about where Box Office Pro projects “Wish,” with a $40-60 million 3-day range, which would probably translate to a $60-80 million range for the 5-day. And long legs throughout the holidays at the box office if it’s a popular hit.

As you’ve seen, it’s primed to be quite the varied selection of options for Thanksgiving. Along with everything else, Ridley Scott will also be joining the party with his new movie Napoleon. This one is one of the wild cards of the month as no one really knows exactly what to expect. Ridley Scott is a very prominent filmmaker with movies like “Alien,” “Blade Runner,” “Gladiator,” “Black Hawk Down” and “The Martian” on his resume. But recently you don’t know if you’re going to get another classic like this or something that’s almost universally disliked. “Napoleon” could realistically go either way. With Joaquin Phoenix as Napoleon Bonaparte and Vanessa Kirby as Empress Josephine, it could be an excellent historical war drama that becomes a sleeper hit. Or it could wind up as a dud. With poor word of mouth, it could be a blip on the radar. As an awards hopeful, what it did NOT do was play the festival circuits, then do a limited run theatrically. That could be seen as a red flag. It’s also not yet had any pre-screenings for critics. But maybe it ends up being a good crowd pleaser for mainstream audiences while not really caring about playing the awards game?

The final movie that I’ll be mentioning here is one that, unlike “Napoleon,” HAS played the awards game. And that’s Emerald Fennell’s Saltburn. This is Fennell’s second directorial feature following “Promising Young Woman” in 2020, which vaulted her onto the scene in an impressive way. Granted it was 2020, so the awards season that year was slimmer pickings, but the movie nevertheless managed five Oscar nominations, including a best picture nominee and an original screenplay win for Fennell. Fans of the movie have been curious to see what she comes up with next and “Saltburn” apparently a very out-there film that’s wild and crazy, certainly a movie that’s not for everyone. It’s about an Oxford student who is drawn in by a classmate into said classmate’s eccentric family estate. It debuted at the Telluride Film Festival in late August and hit several other festivals along the way. It currently holds an 81 percent Rotten Tomatoes score from those who have seen it. It’s slated for its limited release on November 17 before starting its nationwide expansion on November 22. Barry Keoghan is the lead in the movie.